{"id":2300,"date":"2026-09-14T08:13:33","date_gmt":"2026-09-14T08:13:33","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/leovian.com.au\/?p=2300"},"modified":"2026-09-15T05:10:47","modified_gmt":"2026-09-15T05:10:47","slug":"australia-is-still-growing-but-the-economy-is-entering-a-low-growth-high-inflation-phase","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/leovian.com.au\/en\/australia-is-still-growing-but-the-economy-is-entering-a-low-growth-high-inflation-phase\/","title":{"rendered":"Australia Is Still Growing \u2013 But Inflation Remains the Hardest Problem"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>Australia entered the second half of 2026 with a mixed macroeconomic picture. Real GDP increased 0.4% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026 and was 2.1% higher than a year earlier. Yet the ABS described growth as subdued, with cautious households and imports making a meaningful contribution to the result.<\/p>\n<p>Inflation remains the central policy challenge. July 2026 CPI inflation was 3.5% year-on-year, while trimmed-mean inflation was 3.6%. Housing inflation was 5.0%, illustrating why the cost-of-living problem remains persistent even as headline inflation has moderated.<br \/>\n<img fetchpriority=\"high\" decoding=\"async\" class=\"size-large wp-image-2347 aligncenter\" src=\"https:\/\/leovian.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/b2c54992-249e-4ac3-ba23-76847cd2ba25_1783389850-1024x683.png\" alt=\"kinh te australia\" width=\"1024\" height=\"683\" srcset=\"https:\/\/leovian.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/b2c54992-249e-4ac3-ba23-76847cd2ba25_1783389850-1024x683.png 1024w, https:\/\/leovian.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/b2c54992-249e-4ac3-ba23-76847cd2ba25_1783389850-300x200.png 300w, https:\/\/leovian.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/b2c54992-249e-4ac3-ba23-76847cd2ba25_1783389850-768x512.png 768w, https:\/\/leovian.com.au\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/09\/b2c54992-249e-4ac3-ba23-76847cd2ba25_1783389850.png 1536w\" sizes=\"(max-width: 1024px) 100vw, 1024px\" \/><\/p>\n<p>The policy dilemma is straightforward but difficult: easing financial conditions too quickly could revive demand before supply capacity has fully adjusted, while keeping financing conditions tight for too long could weaken housing, business investment and smaller firms.<\/p>\n<p>AI infrastructure adds another layer. Data centres require land, electricity, construction capacity and network infrastructure. Investment therefore raises productive capacity over time but can also create short-term demand for scarce resources.<\/p>\n<p>For Australia\u2013Vietnam investors, this environment favours businesses linked to infrastructure, digital services, energy, logistics and manufacturing rather than highly leveraged businesses dependent on cheap capital.<\/p>\n<p>The key indicators to monitor are underlying inflation, wages, interest rates, household consumption, energy costs and business investment.<\/p>\n<h2>PUBLICATION SOURCES<\/h2>\n<ul>\n<li>ABS \u2013 Australian National Accounts, June 2026<\/li>\n<li>ABS \u2013 CPI, July 2026<\/li>\n<li>RBA \u2013 Statement on Monetary Policy, August 2026<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>Australia&#8217;s economy expanded by 0.4% quarter-on-quarter in Q2 2026<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1,"featured_media":2393,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"open","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"site-sidebar-layout":"default","site-content-layout":"","ast-site-content-layout":"default","site-content-style":"default","site-sidebar-style":"default","ast-global-header-display":"","ast-banner-title-visibility":"","ast-main-header-display":"","ast-hfb-above-header-display":"","ast-hfb-below-header-display":"","ast-hfb-mobile-header-display":"","site-post-title":"","ast-breadcrumbs-content":"","ast-featured-img":"","footer-sml-layout":"","ast-disable-related-posts":"","theme-transparent-header-meta":"default","adv-header-id-meta":"","stick-header-meta":"","header-above-stick-meta":"","header-main-stick-meta":"","header-below-stick-meta":"","astra-migrate-meta-layouts":"set","ast-page-background-enabled":"default","ast-page-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-5)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"ast-content-background-meta":{"desktop":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"tablet":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""},"mobile":{"background-color":"var(--ast-global-color-4)","background-image":"","background-repeat":"repeat","background-position":"center center","background-size":"auto","background-attachment":"scroll","background-type":"","background-media":"","overlay-type":"","overlay-color":"","overlay-opacity":"","overlay-gradient":""}},"footnotes":""},"categories":[24,23],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-2300","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-macroeconomics","category-latest-insights"],"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/leovian.com.au\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2300","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/leovian.com.au\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/leovian.com.au\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leovian.com.au\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leovian.com.au\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=2300"}],"version-history":[{"count":4,"href":"https:\/\/leovian.com.au\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2300\/revisions"}],"predecessor-version":[{"id":2350,"href":"https:\/\/leovian.com.au\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/2300\/revisions\/2350"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leovian.com.au\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/2393"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/leovian.com.au\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=2300"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leovian.com.au\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=2300"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/leovian.com.au\/en\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=2300"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}